Now Serving Duke Warner Market Trends Report for Bend, Oregon Residential Properties October 2012

You have heard recently many times how tight the inventory for home in Bend has become. This is best illustrated when you compare the year to year numbers. When comparing the year to year Duke Warner Market Trends Reports it appears that we maintained a relatively stable number of listings until July when Oregon Senate Bill 1552, a bill that provides distressed homeowners the opportunity for mediation with their lender was enacted. About this same time the effects of a February $25 billion settlement with the big five mortgage servicers over a lawsuit for wide spread mortgage fraud started to kick in along with a Oregon Circuit Court ruling that lenders were required to provide the trail of deed recordings for each tranching of a mortgage.


As mentioned above starting in July our inventory of active listings had dropped by 127 over the previous year. This trend has remained increasingly consistent each of the following months. This month we dropped 217 listings below last year’s number for October.

Contributing to the drop in available inventory has been our strong sales numbers this year, in every month excepting January there has been positive gains in our unit sales numbers as well as dollar volume.

The tight inventory has created is what several of my colleagues have referred to as a micro bubble. As you have heard me mention in previous blogs the current market has many homes, especially the ones that are competitively priced, receiving multiple offers driving up the price of these homes. By no means is this similar to the previous bubbles price run up of 2004-2007. It is a small recovery from a precipice fall of the previous bubble market.

What this means for you if you are a homeowner wishing to sell, strike while the iron is hot! With interest rates remaining low for the near future and well into the next year the amount of willing buyers will remain strong. Competition for the better homes that are priced well will also remain strong. I would anticipate that come late next spring we will see a return to our local real estate market of the homeowners who have sat on the sidelines waiting for the recovery to near its completion. It remains to be seen when that day will come but people are going to see opportunities to get the fairest price for their homes in quite some time and will want to move forward. As these homes return to the market look for an increase in the traditional inventory.

Bolstering the traditional inventory this coming spring will be the number of homes available through the short sale process. In a recent Bank of America seminar their representatives shared that short sales will be the big fives preferred method of disposing of distressed properties. Short selling distressed properties will help them avoid the lengthy, messy and complicated world of judicial foreclosures. At this point their strategy has yet to affect our local market as the number of actively listed homes available as short sales sits at 29, with 47 other listings having offers on them but the sellers are accepting back up offers. These numbers are way off the peak when it was not uncommon to have 60 – 100 homes available through the short sale process.

There is much to consider before jumping in to the market these days. If you are looking for a broker who can represent you in either a traditional or distressed sale, contact me I would be glad to assist you in making an informed decision on what is the best path for you.

Spring is in the air...Duke Warner Market Trends Report for April and more...

Wow, this is what spring looks like in Central Oregon… the Rhododendrons are beginning to bloom, the trees and grass are green once again and the sun being out is a regular event, it is has been warm and wonderful outside. This may be the spring season we have been waiting for, one that sees warm days and sunshine instead of the endless winter of last two years. So far the spring skiing/biking/yard work has been fantastic with sun filled weekends for the last month and a half.

With the start of spring we have seen only a slight increase in available homes. According to our Duke Warner Market Trends Report at the end of April we had 405 homes on under one acre that were actively marketed in Bend. As of this writing we have jump slightly to 457 homes. On this beautiful Monday morning it is past noon and we have yet to see one new listing hit the Bend market for the day.

If you are a property owner that has been sitting on the sidelines waiting for the doom and gloom to end possibly this is your time to spring forward. Interest rates remain low at today’s rate of 3.85%. This is not likely to change this summer for a variety of reasons. Of course with the low inventory there is less competition from other properties. This too is unlikely to change over the summer as lenders have been slow to process distressed properties. Oregon’s SB1552 a bill designed to end dual tracking by the larger lenders and require the lenders to mediate with their borrowers is likely to slow the processing of distressed properties even further.

On the flip side there are still opportunities out there for buyers. While bank owned properties have decreased for the time being, the leading value category is in homes being short sold. It is true that short sales can be a pain and have a reputation for taking months to complete. For the buyer who can wait out the process they represent a segment of the market that has the greatest value. Today there are 49 short sale and 27 bank owned homes that are actively marketed in Bend. These numbers have decreased dramatically from years past adding to the decrease in our inventory.

Time will tell if the lenders ever get a handle on how to process the large number of homes that have been foreclosed (or are in the process of foreclosing). For now there are plenty of properties that are sitting out there waiting for someone to finish processing them so they can return to the market. Until then if you are going to buy it would be best to have a great lender on your side, come well armed with an approval letter from them and know your limits. If you like a property weigh the pros and cons carefully, if it is a sound and well priced property consider making your offer at the asking price or risk missing out to those who will. This seems strange considering how there are still so many property owners who cannot sell their homes but many of those are in their position due to price or location.

If you or someone you know needs assistance with properties in Bend and Central Oregon, give me a call or send me an email. I am glad to assist and referrals are always appreciated.