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Thursday, March 14, 2013

The Duke Warner Market Trends and Bratton Reports have hit the Streets and Spring is Just Ahead…


You would never know it from today’s weather with temperatures in the mid sixty degree range. It is suppose to still be winter snowy and cold just like our friends to the east of us. There have been plenty of cyclist, runners, hikers and skiers out taking full advantage of this beautiful weather. It is days like today make you feel blessed to be in Central Oregon.
Both the Duke Warner Market Trends and Bratton Reports are available either through the link provided or you can go to my website shopbendhomes.com. The Bratton Report is showing a drop in the median price of a home in Bend for the month. Looking at this month’s Duke Warner Report we see a drop in the amount of sales in the $225,000 - $325,000 price range, this is the culprit in for the drop in the median price. I believe this to be a temporary drop as the number of pending sales in this grouping has increase by approximately the same amount that sales fell.  Overall the numbers are very similar to the month before and are very strong considering the time of year.

A problem for the next two to three months will be our lack of inventory. To help in relieving this builders have been pulling new home permits at a rate not seen until July of 2007. By early summer a good portion of these homes will hit the market and provide some relief. While consumer confidence is growing there are a good many homeowners that are not comfortable with the price their home will bring. The distressed homeowner’s property, a component that feed the market for so long, still remains on the sideline.  

There are a good number of distressed homes that have either been foreclosed on or are waiting to be processed as a foreclosed home. These homes have been missing from our inventory since last summer.  The main culprit in slowing down these homes from being processed is Oregon Senate Bill 1552. SB1552 requires lien holders to arbitrate with distressed homeowners to work out a solution/option to the foreclosure. The loan servicers have moved to the much slower judicial foreclosure process to evade the requirements of the bill.

The legislation is currently working on a revised version of SB1552 that will encompass the judicial process as well. I believe this new legislation will only continue to slow down the process. Our legislators are well intended but they are too late. Had they left the process that had been in place alone we would have a more stable inventory of homes and would be well on our way to working through the distressed inventory.

It will be interesting to see what spring brings; there are already rumblings of interest rates rising though out the summer. This might be the catalyst for bringing more homes to the market, as homeowners move off of the fence and make the decision to find that new place to call home with super low interest rates.