Is Bend Rising From the Ashes?

Two recent publications have the City of Bend rising to the top of their lists.

The Oregon Business Journal reported in an article titled “The Bend Housing Bounce” highlighted the Northwest Crossings neighborhood. Northwest Crossings has weathered the downturn better than most by providing well appointed new homes in a vibrant mixed use neighborhood. Northwest Crossings currently accounts for 21% of new housing permits issued for Bend. Joining Northwest Crossings are Yelas Constructions homes at Marken Heights and various builders in the Shevlin Pines development out toward Shevlin Park.

The Business Insider has an article “The 15 Best Housing Markets For The Next Five Years”

This article highlights 15 markets which are poised for growth over the next five years, listing Bend in the number one position. Their reasoning covers the dramatic decrease in home prices from the first quarter of 2007 and a strong median family income. It is exactly that drop in prices and a strong rental market that has brought buyers back to our market. Many see this as opportunity buy well, similar to Bend in the mid eighties. This rating comes with a word of caution in a side note about Bend’s continued high unemployment rate. The article predicts an annualized growth rate from 2011- 2016 of +11.9%.

Central Oregon offers a great lifestyle in a variety of styles, the things that made us popular before and during the boom years are still here waiting for you today. To get more information about what we have to offer feel free to contact me.

Ho Ho Ho Merry Christmas, Here are the Bend Market Trend Reports for November 2011

A friend queried me about the trend he was seeing in the Bratton report; he was concerned that the drop in the median price of Bend homes might be an ominous sign. How if we are bouncing along the bottom could the median values drop by so much? When you pull back and look at the bigger picture the market for homes above $225,000 has remained very soft while everything below that has been moving tremendously well.


This has skewered the numbers and perceptions of those who do not dig deeper for the cause. Are there a good number of homes available for sale above $225,000? Of course, are they selling? Not so much. Right now many people who might move up or those who want to sell feel the economic conditions are too unsettled for them to take the chance of making a move.

This trend also shows that those who are not intimidated by the current economic conditions are buying up the well valued homes. The greater concentration of these homes has been in the $225,000 and under price range. Many feel that in this price range should things fall a bit further that their losses would be minimal since the fall is incrementally smaller. An even greater pull is that many feel they will not see these same purchasing opportunities come our way again for some time.

As we move through the coming year the combination of a pent up need for people to move forward in their lives and economic conditions that should continue to stabilize will lead to a steady improvement in the median value of homes as the higher valued homes begin to sell once again.

To see the market trends for Bend follow the link
Bend Market Trends Report.

Bouncing Along the Bottom in Bend, Oregon... Real Estate Market Trends for October

Before you get into the holiday season you may want to check out the latest market trend reports. This is a great time to pick up property in Central Oregon.


Our local data belays what we often hear in the daily news, from the data in the reports it appears that we have stabilized for the moment. The amount of homes actively listed on the market hit a high in August and September and now is slipping back down as we head toward winter. Distressed homes have retreated as well during this period and now comprise 45% of the market with short sales being about 60% of the distressed category. As we slip back down in inventory for the winter months the overall trend has been fewer homes on the market. We are currently down sixty to one hundred actively listed homes from previous years.

Driving this stabilization trend is the continued strong interest from investors and first time home buyers in the under $250,000 class of properties. This has led to sellers receiving multiple offers on properties that represent good values and has them selling quickly. It has also been surprising to see so many cash buyers. With the tightened underwriting rules for financing properties many capable buyers are by passing today’s amazingly low interest rates and bringing cash to the table.

The investors we see coming into the market are looking at the super low vacancy rates for rental properties in the Bend area and calculating solid returns for the next few years. The other attraction is the remarkably low prices and good values on many properties. This has occurred as sellers have come back to reality of what their property is worth today and will be worth over the next few years.

The biggest hold up in the having the real estate market continue to grow is the lack of confidence that the local job market will improve and the national economy’s lingering stagnation. With the upcoming Presidential election the opportunity that our economic turmoil will turn around is slim. With housing being such a huge component of the national economy it would not be surprising to see continued new programs and new road blocks offered up by both parties to help sway voter confidence thus adding to the lack of confidence.

My take is that the market will stay the same undulating course over the next 18 months. Eventually Bend will see slight gains at first but as confidence returns so will Bends popularity. All of the things people from outside of Bend loved before are still here waiting for them and it is just a matter of time before those who hold the dream to move here act. When those who lust for Bend act on their dreams expect to see return to predictable positive gains in real estate.

Have a great Thanksgiving!!

Cheers,

Bill

Real Estate Trends Report for October is Ready!!

Many are finding that in Bend it is getting harder to find the house they want at a price they can accept. October has brought the lowest inventory of Bend homes for this year. With the lower inventory we are seeing houses that are well priced with nice amenities and a desirable location being snapped up off the market quickly. We have found that buyers who think that Bend has abundance of great homes at super cheap prices are astounded by how difficult it is to find the home that they want at a price they are willing to pay.


Many of the well priced homes are seeing multiple offers, which is a welcome change for sellers. That trend is especially pronounced in the lower price range of the market with only a 2.8 month supply of homes available under $225,000 and a 3.2 month supply of priced between $225,000 and $325,000. In categories below $625,000 there is currently less than an eight month supply of homes.

The average price for a home sold in Bend for the month was $259,474 down 12% from 2009. Of those homes sold this past month traditional sales made up the bulk of the sales at 44.7%. Bank owned homes fell in behind the traditional sales at 32.1% and short sales brought up the rear 23%.

Short sales remain a headache for all involved in the process. To illustrate how frustrating the short sale process can be there are 133 in a contingent sales status compared to 6 traditional home sales and 1 bank owned. In the contingent sales status most are waiting for approval of the third party lender/investor which can take months. Recently I have been told by certain lenders that they are attempting to complete the short sales transaction in a thirty day window, I have yet to see a lender accomplish that timeline.

The bank owned properties have been the primary recipients of multiple offers with their aggressive pricing; these homes have sold 99.1% of the list price at the time of the sale. Short sales have had the next best results with a ratio of 97.8% and traditional sales seeing the larger concession in prices at 95.1%.

For a different perspective on pricing, homes continue to sell in the mid 80% range of their original list price, this trend has held true since December of 2009. What I see in this last number is that sellers are still adjusting to the realization that their properties will not fetch the price of even just a year ago.

These trends will likely continue through the winter months and into the first part of the spring season. It appears that for the lower range of the market we have stumbled to the bottom of the market. I think we will remain there for the near future and into the next year while we wait for the rest of the market to catch up and the economy continue its recovery.

Click the following link to see this month’s market trends report.

Bend Oregon Market Trends...

While neglecting my blogging duties of late I have not posted the market trend reports for the last two months. If you visit my new website shopbendhomes.com under the Area Information tab you can find the Duke Warner Realty Market Trends reports dating back to June of this year and the Bratton Market Trend reports dating back to August.

Sorry for the inconvience but the web site provides a more complete platform for sharing this information.

Stepping Up To A New Web Site...

I have been feeling kind of bad for negecting my blogging duties of late but I have been working on the content in my new web site, shopbendhomes.com. A consuming task, which will be a work in progress for some time to come.  

My web site allows you find the latest properties available in Central Oregon with its powerful map based search engine. This search feature allows you to visit the properties location virtually. While viewing the property you will have all the listing information for the property presented at the same time. The web site allows you to set up your own account to keep track of all the properties you like and to be alerted to any changes in the properties status.  

My web site also contains pages and links to help guide you through the maze of real estate solutions. Take the time to visit my site I will be curious to hear your feedback and suggestions. 

Visit shopbendhomes.com to find your next Central Oregon property!